Daily Situation Report

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Date:  August 16, 2017

 

ROAD CLOSURES:

2nd Avenue in Laurel Hill will be closed between 5th Street and 7th Street from Wednesday, August 9, 2017 – Wednesday, August 16, 2017, while crews replace a storm drain and associated infrastructure. Detour will be 3rd Avenue. Please plan accordingly.

 

Earl Campbell Road in Laurel Hill will have lane restrictions from Wednesday, August 9, 2017 – Thursday, August 24, 2017.  Only one lane will be open, while crews replace storm drain and associated infrastructure. Please plan accordingly.

 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK:

Heat indices will range from around 102 to 106 degrees today.

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop across the area today, especially over the western half of the western half of the region. Convection beginning near the coast this morning and then developing inland through the afternoon. The stronger storms that develop will be capable of producing torrential downpours, which could result in localized flooding of urban and low-lying areas. Frequent cloud to ground lightning strikes will accompany most of the storms, and brief strong and gusty winds will also be possible with some of the stronger storms.

 

TROPICAL FORECAST:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Gert, located a few hundred miles northwest of Bermuda.

 

A low pressure system located about 900 miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to produce disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms.  This system is moving westward at 15 to 20 mph, and it is expected to cross into the Caribbean Sea on Friday.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become a little more conducive for development during the next several days, and interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of this system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours low 30 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days medium 40 percent.

 

A second area of low pressure located several hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands is also producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Gradual development of this system is possible during the next few days before upper-level winds become less conducive over the weekend.  This system is expected to move west northwestward at 15 to 20 mph during the next several days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours low 30 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days medium 40 percent.

 

A tropical wave near the west coast of Africa is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this wave while it moves westward to west-northwestward at about 15 mph during the next several days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours low near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days medium 40 percent.

 

GENERAL WEATHER OUTLOOK:

Today:  A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 91. Southwest wind around 5 mph. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tonight:  A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. Southwest wind around 5 mph.

Thursday:  A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. West wind around 5 mph.

Thursday Night:  A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. West wind around 5 mph.

 

MARINE FORECAST:

Today:  Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 2 feet then 1 foot or less. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Tonight:  Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west. Seas 1 foot or less then around 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Thursday:  West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming 8 to 13 knots. Seas around 2 feet then 1 foot or less. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Thursday Night:  Southwest winds 8 to 13 knots becoming west. Seas around 2 feet. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.

 

SURF FORECAST:

Rip Current Hazard: Low

Surf Temperature: 85 degrees

 

PENSACOLA PASS

High 1.3 feet 5:02 AM / Low 0.1 feet 5:02 PM / High 1.4 feet 6:03 AM

Tide Range is 1.3 feet

 

NAVARRE BEACH

High 1.7 feet 4:09 AM / Low 0.2 feet 3:47 PM / High 1.8 feet 5:06 AM

Tide Range is 1.6 feet

 

EAST PASS (DESTIN)

High 0.8 feet 5:52 AM / Low 0.0 feet 5:02 PM / High 0.8 feet 6:53 AM

Tide Range is 0.8 feet

 

FIRE WEATHER:

KBDI drought index for previous day: 150

Humidity: 60 inland & 65 coastal

Mixing height: 4600 inland & 4000 coastal

Transport winds: W at 6 inland & SW at 7 coastal

Dispersion index: 31 inland & 30 coastal

 

RIVER LEVELS:

(R = rising, S = steady, F = falling)

Yellow/Milligan: 4.30 feet (F)

Blackwater/Baker: 2.32 feet (F)

Shoal River/SR 85, Crestview: 6.12 feet (F)

Shoal/Mossy Head: 8.64 feet (R)

 

SUN / MOON DATA:

Sunrise: 6:14 am

Sunset: 7:27 pm

Moonrise: 1:01 a.m.

Moonset:  2:57 p.m.

Moon Phase:  Waning 31%

 

Okaloosa County Emergency Management