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Daily Situation Report

Date: April 18, 2014

ROAD CLOSURES:

None reported

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK:

An area of low pressure will continue to develop over the adjacent gulf waters today and move northeast. Moderate to heavy rain will be likely with this pattern, especially east of the I-65 corridor stretching south to the Alabama and northwest Florida coast. As a result a flash flood watch remains in effect for these areas through this afternoon. In these locations 1 to 3 inches of rain is still expected with locally higher amounts. This heavy rain may lead to instances of flash flooding and additional river flooding across southern Alabama and the western Florida panhandle. Please refer to updated flood warning statements for the latest river flood information.

TROPICAL FORECAST:

For the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico

The tropical forecast will resume 1 June 2014

GENERAL WEATHER OUTLOOK:

Today: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then a chance of showers. Expect highs near 64; breezy, with a north wind 15 to 20 mph and gusts as high as 35 mph. The chance of precipitation is 90%.

Tonight: A 40 percent chance of showers, mainly before 1am; mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Breezy, with a north wind 15 to 20 mph and gusts as high as 30 mph.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 73, north wind around 15 mph.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 50, north wind around 10 mph.

Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 78, north wind 5 to 10 mph.

MARINE FORECAST:

A small craft advisory is in effect through Saturday morning

Today: Northeast winds 23 to 28 knots and diminishing to 19 to 22 knots with gusts to around 36 knots in the late morning and early afternoon; then becoming north 22 to 27 knots late. Seas will be 5 to 7 feet. There is a chance of thunderstorms in the morning and showers through the day.

Tonight: North winds 18 to 23 knots and diminishing to 17 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas will be 5 to 7 feet. There is a chance of rain.

Saturday: North winds 18 to 21 knots and becoming northwest 8 to 11 knots with gusts to around 22 knots. Seas will be 3 to 5 feet and subsiding to 2 to 3 feet in the afternoon.

Saturday night: Northwest winds 6 to 9 knots and becoming north 11 to 14 knots late in the evening; then becoming northeast 16 to 19 knots after midnight. Seas will be 2 to 3 feet.

Sunday: Northeast winds 14 to 17 knots and becoming north 9 to 12 knots in the afternoon. Seas will be 2 to 3 feet.

SURF FORECAST:

Rip Current Hazard: High

Outlook for Tomorrow: High

Surf Temperature: 66 degrees

Tides:

Navarre Beach:
High 1.4 ft 9:42 am, low -0.1 ft 7:33 pm / high 1.5 ft 10:23 am Friday / tide range is 1.6 feet

At East Pass (Destin):
High 0.7 ft 11:52 am, low -0.1 ft 10:26 pm / high 0.7 ft 12:37 pm Friday / tide range is 0.8 feet

At Pensacola Pass:
High 1.1 ft 11:02 am, low -0.1 ft 10:26 pm / high 1.2 ft 11:47 am Friday / tide range is 1.3 feet

For tide data please go to http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/MOB/TIDMOB

FIRE WEATHER:

Keetch Byram drought index (KBDI): 000 100
Index for previous day: 14

Humidity: 69% inland & 70% coastal
Mixing height: 1700 inland & 1800 coastal
Transport winds: N at 32 inland & N at 35 coastal
Dispersion index: 60 inland & 64 coastal

RIVER LEVELS:

(R = rising, S = steady, F = falling)

Yellow/Milligan: 8.31 ft (R) River is not predicted to flood

Blackwater/Baker: 6.67 ft (F) River is not predicted to flood

Shoal/SR 85, Crestview: 7.70ft (R)

River is predicted to rise above flood stage at this location today and at 9.5 feet sometime on Sunday. At this height no homes or businesses should be affected

Shoal/Mossy Head: 11.28 ft (R)

River is forecast to rise above flood stage today and crest on Saturday at 16.96 feet. Residents in this area should remain alert for possible flooding of low lying areas. Residents living in flood prone areas should monitor the progress of the river closely. Updates will be provided as needed.

SUN / MOON DATA:

Sunset: 0716 pm
End civil twilight: 1940
Moon phase: waning 87%
Moonrise: 2251 today
Moonset: 0942 tomorrow
Begin civil twilight: 0550
Sunrise: 0614

Randy McDaniel, Okaloosa County Emergency Management

Dino J. Villani,
Director of Public Safety
90 College Boulevard East
Niceville, FL 32578
Phone: (850) 651-7150
Fax: (850) 651-7170